Quant-ish SolutionsGlobal Health Policy Research

Quantish Global Health Group / U.S. health policy

How could the United States pay for universal healthcare?

The question is what public financing would replace, what would change, and what the transition would cost.

Policy research · Formal report forthcoming

Distinguish national spending from its funding sources

CMS reports 2024 health spending of $5.3 trillion, including approximately $1.64 trillion from private health insurance, $1.12 trillion through Medicare and $0.93 trillion through Medicaid. These historic figures offer a baseline, not automatically transferable revenue.

A national financing model must show which premiums, employer contributions, out-of-pocket payments and existing public spending would be replaced; it cannot add new taxes to current healthcare spending and describe the result as the net incremental cost.

Five fiscal questions

Benefits and eligibility

Who is eligible and what benefits, including prevention, dental, mental health and long-term care, are covered?

Revenue and distribution

Which taxes replace premiums, and how do households, workers, employers and states fare?

Provider payment and demand

How would hospitals, clinics and prescriptions be paid when access increases?

Hospital capital and acquisition

What is the separate cost of owning facilities, servicing debt and maintaining infrastructure?

Risk and sensitivity

What happens under alternative utilization, workforce, inflation and transition assumptions?

Savings require evidence

CBO notes that a single-payer system may reduce certain administrative costs while creating implementation challenges and greater demand for care. Quantish will test both possible efficiencies and costs rather than announcing a predetermined net savings figure.

This research is in development; no final hospital valuation, savings forecast, national rollout projection, legislative text, or government authorization has been published.

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Research references